McCain Momentum

We can call it that now, for in a recent CNN poll, McCain has bounced up five points in NH, with Romney taking a 7 point dive. What can explain this?

Well, for one thing, McCain paused his campaign to focus on his "No Surrender" tour, which was about the war, the valor of our soldiers, and the importance of keeping the terror war from our shores. McCain did what even Bush couldn't, and that is, explain the seriousness of the war to the heartland. In sum, while Rudy takes phone calls from his wife at speeches, Fred is lazy as the day is long, and Romney is all things to all people, McCain is presidential. Let me repeat. McCain is Presidential.

This bounce should come as no surprise to pollsters as well, for at the end of the day, social conservatives will not back pretenders, flipfloppers or panderers. Liberal R's will vote for Rudy, Social cons will meander between Huckabee and Brownback, Romney will become irrelevant as Rudy and McCain begin their ad sweeps. In fact, I would bet the reason why Romney has enjoyed some success at second place is simply because he is putting all his money into early ad blitzes. But once all the campaigns start the ad war, Romney will have to atone for his convenient floppings from his early senate races, to the governorship of taxachussettes, and now the Presidency.

All the while, McCain has been right on the war for years now, and he had a better time explaining that cause to America. McCain's momentum shows he is the only candidate with the gravitas to win, and more important, to lead.